KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% 41.9%-13.0ptLíder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% 41.9%-13.0ptQualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
10,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
12,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
5/10/26, 21:00 UTC25/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?
KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent
Kalshi🇧🇷 Will Brazil’s 2026 presidential runoff be decided by less than 3 percentage points?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRegras
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (votos válidos, excluding blank and null votes) received by the candidate named in the market minus the share received by the other candidate in the runoff if the named candidate wins, or the share of the candidate that finishes first if the named candidate loses. If the named candidate wins, the margin will be positive; if the named candidate loses, the margin will be negative; if the named candidate ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Regras de cada resultado
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 0-3%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 0% to 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 3-6%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 3% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, 6-9%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is within 6% to 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the runoff of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.