Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?
21.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoAmérica Latina1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Mexico 78%+21.0ptLíder entre 5 opções
Mexico 78%+21.0ptQualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,3 mil €
Contratos em aberto
4,6 mil €
Contratos em aberto: médioSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
5/10/26, 21:00 UTC25/10/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Mexico (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast by Brazilian voters in the named country, as reported in the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) Exterior results for that country.
Regras de cada resultado
- Mexico
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Mexico (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Colombia
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Colombia (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Costa Rica
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Costa Rica (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Uruguay
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Uruguay (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Chile
- If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in Chile (Brazilian voters abroad) in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.