US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

7.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolítica Middle East1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

August 31 60%+14.5%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

111,9 mil €

Liquidez

126,8 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado

Variação 7d

+10.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 18 minutos

13/07/26, 18:0431/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

July 24

July 14

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

August 3160%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Grandes negociações

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashontem

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfareanteontem

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman2há 4 dias

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123há 5 dias

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123há 5 dias

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spithá 11 dias

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal800há 11 dias

Tendência de volume

$127.4k

13 de jul.14d de dados26 de jul.

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Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

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Regras

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

7.0% (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics Geopolítica Middle East1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

August 31 60%+14.5%

Líder entre 5 opções

Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade

Volume 24h

111,9 mil €

Liquidez

126,8 mil €

Alta liquidez

Compra / Venda

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread moderado

Variação 7d

+10.0%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 18 minutos

13/07/26, 18:0431/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

July 24

July 14

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

August 3160%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.

Grandes negociações

$18.0k89.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — NoFruitful-Succotashontem

$1.0k13.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? — YesSolid-Airfareanteontem

$2.0k69.1%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoArman2há 4 dias

$3.9k94.4%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123há 5 dias

$2.4k93.7%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — Noanon.1980.123há 5 dias

$3.6k63.9%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — NoRequired-Spithá 11 dias

$1.5k91.0%

POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? — NoCal800há 11 dias

Tendência de volume

$127.4k

13 de jul.14d de dados26 de jul.

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19,5 mil €

August 31: 13%

POLYMARKET

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

6,9 mil €

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POLYMARKET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

1,4 mil €

December 31: 6%

POLYMARKET

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

43,9 €

Sim: 49.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will USA change Iran regime

0 €

Sim: 7.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?

988,3 €

Sim: 8.3%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$64,420.95+0.67%

EthereumETH$1,884.69+1.51%

SolanaSOL$75.04+1.60%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0739+6.44%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.25%

BNBBNB$572.08+1.35%

Notícias Relacionadas

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White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News

Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News

Regras

On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.