US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 50%+3.1ptLíder entre 20 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
80 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
164,3 mil €
Liquidez
510,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
572
Variação 7d
-4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
13/07/26, 18:04 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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FutuurRegras
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.
