KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 55%
Qualidade do mercado
81 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
204,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
16/12/25, 16:00 UTC1/02/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 45%. As cotações diferem cerca de 6 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 45% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 bi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 193,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume total
- € 29,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 506,4 mil
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 mais resultados
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 843,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 408 mil
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Blue tsunami in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 55% em 21 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Blue tsunami in 2026? é resolvido?
- Blue tsunami in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Blue tsunami in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Blue tsunami in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.