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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição7m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 68%-2.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

37,6 €

Liquidez

1,2 mil €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

70.0% / 73.0%

Spread

4.3%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

12/12/25, 15:001/02/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes68%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

5m
Sim
Sim
75%
Não
Não
25%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread apertadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total43,1 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,732.73+0.71%EthereumETH$1,646.92-0.17%SolanaSOL$65.73+0.69%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+0.33%XRPXRP$1.12-1.05%BNBBNB$599.00+0.62%

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Regras

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
  • If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
  • Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
  • For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
  • All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.