KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualSim 74%-1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
82 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
154,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
12/12/25, 15:001/02/27, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes74%
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 74% | 0pt | 4,2 mil € | 154,5 mil € | há 17 minutos | |
 Polymarket80% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 75% | +1pt | 0 € | 11,4 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
4m
75%
25%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total46,5 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$4.8k2 de jul.26d de dados27 de jul.
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.