PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Gavin Newsom 13%Líder entre 71 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
658,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
21
Variação 7d
-6.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
19/11/25, 23:53 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketWill Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2028?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.