Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2026 12%-0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
57 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
46,1 €
Liquidez
8,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
11
Variação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
27/10/25, 17:52 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.