Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87%
Previsores
25
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado25/04/26, 07:04 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Gavin Newsom formally announces his candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a definitive public statement confirming he is running for President.
- The announcement must occur before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027.
- If no such formal announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to NO.
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Politico, The New York Times) will be used to verify the announcement.
- Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is frequently discussed as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in future presidential election cycles.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? é resolvido?
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria