Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 06:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 85%
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29
Tipo de pergunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado25/04/26, 07:04 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Gavin Newsom formally announces his candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a definitive public statement confirming he is running for President.
- The announcement must occur before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027.
- If no such formal announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to NO.
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Politico, The New York Times) will be used to verify the announcement.
- Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is frequently discussed as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in future presidential election cycles.