KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Oct 1, 2027 74%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
7/04/26, 14:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
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KalshiRegras
If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Mercados abertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy??
- A Kalshi cota Before Oct 1, 2027 em 74% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? é resolvido?
- When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Gavin Newsom has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.