PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualSim 75%
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
12,9 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
74.0% / 76.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
-0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
14/01/26, 0:5330/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes75%
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 75% | 0pt | 1,1 mil € | 151 mil € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Baixa | 75% | 0pt | 0 € | 12,9 mil € | há 14 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Blue wave in 2026?
1.0 pts6m
+1.0pt75%
25%
79 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total272,9 mil €
Volume 24h1,1 mil €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$582 de jul.20d de dados24 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf