PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 84.2%+1.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
13 €
Liquidez
11 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
11
Variação 7d
+7.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
14/01/26, 00:53 UTC5/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 85%.
Referencia CoinRithm 85% · 2 plataformas · 0 pt de dispersao entre venues
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Blue wave in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 84% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Blue wave in 2026? é resolvido?
- Blue wave in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 5 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Blue wave in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Onde mais Blue wave in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.