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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

YearlyPolíticaUS PoliticsEleição5m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 75%
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

12,4 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

74.0% / 76.0%

Spread

2.7%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

+4.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

14/01/26, 0:5330/11/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes75%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0%7m
Sim
Sim
-2.0%68%
Não
Não
32%
44 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total2,2 mil €
Volume 24h37,6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Mercados Relacionados

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33,7 €
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 29%KalshiKALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

2,8 €
7 or more: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

0 €
Senate: 50%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

130,1 €
Alex Padilla, more housing: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?

60,7 €
Sim: 4.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$63,024.17+1.48%EthereumETH$1,653.05+0.11%SolanaSOL$65.44+0.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+0.46%HyperliquidHYPE$57.10-0.64%XRPXRP$1.12-1.20%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf