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  3. How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?
How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026?

YearlyPolíticaUS Politics7m
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 1
Exactly 1 65%
Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado

24 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

26,4 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

64.0% / 79.0%

Spread

23.4%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

9/12/25, 15:008/01/27, 15:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Exactly 165%

Regras

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

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Regras

If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
  • If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
  • If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
  • Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
  • If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.