PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 91.1%
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
170,9 €
Liquidez
8 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
5
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
5/11/25, 22:16 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 9%. As cotações diferem cerca de 2 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 9% · 2 plataformas · 2 pt de dispersao entre venues