KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Moody, 2+ pts 85%Líder entre 9 opções
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
217,6 €
Liquidez
15,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
28/04/26, 01:02 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Mercados abertos
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- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
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- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Florida Senate margin of victory?
- A Kalshi cota Moody, 2+ pts em 85% em 18 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Florida Senate margin of victory é resolvido?
- Florida Senate margin of victory deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como Florida Senate margin of victory é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.