Florida Governor margin of victory
One-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Donalds, 0.5+ pts · —
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Preço registado
Donalds, 0.5+ pts 68%Líder entre 19 opções
Donalds, 0.5+ pts 68%Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
17,8 mil €
Contratos em aberto
213,9 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Donalds, 0.5+ ptsSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 39 minutos
29/04/26, 14:00 UTC3/11/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Donalds, 0.5+ pts
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Florida Division of Elections
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regras de cada resultado
- Donalds, 0.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 0.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 1+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 1.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 1.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 2+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 2.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 3+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 3.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 3.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 4+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 6+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 7+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 8+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 9+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 10+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 12+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 18+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 15+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 4.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 4.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donalds, 5.5+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 5.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
