Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffEleiçãoGeopolíticaMiddle East3m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
July 18 100%+0.3ptLíder entre 23 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
62,8 mil €
Liquidez
218 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
265
Variação 7d
+0.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
16/07/26, 23:11 UTC31/12/26, 20:29 UTC
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FutuurRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
