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  3. 2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoUS Politics1a
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Republicans win
Republicans win 15%-1.0%
Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado

60 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

162 €

Liquidez

3 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

4/02/26, 15:003/11/27, 13:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Republicans win15%

PolymarketTambém disponível em Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

6.0%4m
Other
Other
46%
Democrats 8-10%
Democrats 8-10%
-0.5%19%
Democrats 6-8%
Democrats 6-8%
+6.0%18%

+11 mais resultados

89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total53,1 mil €
Volume 24h9 mil €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regras

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Regras

If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
  • The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.