2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoUS Politics1a
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Democrats, 8 to 10% 22.9%-1.0ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
86 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
11,7 mil €
Liquidez
1 M €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
4/02/26, 15:00 UTC3/11/27, 13:59 UTC
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If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Clerk of the House
- The national House popular vote margin of victory shall be calculated as the vote percentage received by all Democratic party House candidates in the general election minus the vote percentage received by all Republican party House candidates in the general election.
- The margin will be positive if the Democratic party wins the national House popular vote and negative if they lose the national House popular vote.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)?
- A Kalshi cota Democrats, 8 to 10% em 23% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) é resolvido?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between -100 and 0 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em PredictIt.