PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDemocratic Party 87%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
217,9 €
Liquidez
25 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoVariação 7d
+2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
28/01/26, 16:243/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democratic Party87%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 87% | — | 217,9 € | 25 mil € | há 9 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 80% | — | 0 € | 11,9 mil € | há 9 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
CA-45 House winner?
1a
80.8%
19.2%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploLiquidez média
Volume total16,6 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$2485 de jul.16d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-45 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.