Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMike Thompson (D) 77.7%-2.7pt
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+27.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
16/09/26, 02:32 UTC3/11/26, 10:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Regras
2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California - Wikipedia
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
- [link preview]
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Mike Thompson (D) em 77.7% em 22 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will win the CA-4 house election? é resolvido?
- Who will win the CA-4 house election? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Who will win the CA-4 house election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: 2026 United States House of Representatives elections in California - Wikipedia