Probabilidade implícita atual
Kuomintang (KMT) 87%Líder entre 30 opções
Qualidade do mercado
83 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
44 €
Liquidez
53 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
86.0% / 87.0%
Spread
1.2%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
+0.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
4/12/25, 20:4328/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Kuomintang (KMT)87%
Grandes negociações
$1.0k85.0%
POLYMARKETWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? — YesMagnificent-Latexhá 16 dias
POLYMARKETWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? — YesMagnificent-Latexhá 16 diasTendência de volume
$505 de jul.22d de dados26 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
576,3 €Sim: 23%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Taiwan presidential election winner?
76,5 €William Lai: 67%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Sim: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
0 €Kuomintang: 85%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by which date?
1,1 mil €December 31: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
782,3 €Sim: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News%20Abstract%20Cryptocurrency.%20With%20a%20dark%20background%20and%20a%20world%20map-min.jpg)
Polymarket odds: Lula leads Brazil 2026 race at 61.5% after 12pp jumpBlockchain.NewsRegras
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
- A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party.
- Independent candidates will not count for any party.
- Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
- Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City