If Reform's change in council seats in the local elections is this, will there be a general election in 2026 or 2027?
Política1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAbove +1200 60.3%Líder entre 3 opções
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado22/04/26, 12:59 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
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Options resolve N/A if Reform UK's change in council seats (seats after - seats before) following the 2026 local elections is lower than the threshold, YES if there is a UK general election in 2026 or 2027, and NO otherwise.