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Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Democratic Party 96.9%-0.5ptAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
25,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
2.0% / 3.2%
Spread
1.2 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado28/01/26, 16:083/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercados abertos
Politics
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
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- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
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- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
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- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CA-43 House Election Winner?
- A Polymarket cota Democratic Party em 97% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CA-43 House Election Winner é resolvido?
- CA-43 House Election Winner deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como CA-43 House Election Winner é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.