KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualFlávio Bolsonaro 26%Líder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
89 / 100
Alta qualidadeVolume 24h
17,9 mil €
Liquidez
1,2 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
5/12/25, 19:3025/10/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Flávio Bolsonaro26%
Comparar plataformas· Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Alta | 61% | 0pt | 17,9 mil € | 1,2 M € | há 17 minutos | |
 PolymarketMais ativa80% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 63% | +2pt | 163,1 mil € | 8,2 M € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets95% de correspondência · verificado | — | 57% | -4pt | — | — | há 25 dias | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · auto | — | 70% | +9pt | — | — | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Manifold Markets
2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
3m
+1.7%56.9%
25%
-0.8%11.1%
+5 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade26 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Manifold Markets
Brazil Presidential Election Winner
2m
+5.5%69.8%
-1.4%19.6%
-4.0%5.5%
+4 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade23 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election
2m
+1.0%63%
+0.8%24%
-0.5%10%
+29 mais resultados
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total101,9 M €
Volume 24h163,1 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tarcísio de Freitas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$7.6k39.0%POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — NoCultured-Cultivarhá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — NoCultured-Cultivarhá 3 dias$1.4k39.0%POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — No0x88c1…017ehá 3 dias
POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — No0x88c1…017ehá 3 dias$2.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Yesmyexhá 4 dias
POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Yesmyexhá 4 dias$5.0k99.5%KALSHIRomeu Zema — Nohá 11 dias
KALSHIRomeu Zema — Nohá 11 dias$1.5k61.0%POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — YesRyxon21há 11 dias
POLYMARKETWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — YesRyxon21há 11 dias$1.4k62.0%KALSHILuiz Inácio Lula da Silva — Yeshá 11 dias
KALSHILuiz Inácio Lula da Silva — Yeshá 11 dias$1.1k98.9%POLYMARKETWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — NoNIKEahá 11 dias
POLYMARKETWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — NoNIKEahá 11 dias$1.6k98.5%POLYMARKETWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — No46ytrdfgtrr75e6há 12 dias
POLYMARKETWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — No46ytrdfgtrr75e6há 12 diasTendência de volume
$20.3k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tarcísio de Freitas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.