Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMike Thompson (D) 65%-3.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
-10.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 53 minutos
Atrasado23/05/26, 01:43 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
PolymarketCA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
PolymarketCA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)
PolymarketCA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
PolymarketWho will win the CA-4 house election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win CA House District 24
Manifold MarketsRegras
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- This is for the general election
- Non advancers will resolve no early.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
