Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMike Thompson (D) 69.8%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado23/05/26, 01:43 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4
- This resolves yes to the winner of the November election.
- This is for the general election
- Non advancers will resolve no early.
- Dashboard to find markets for other California house primaries: https://manifold.markets/news/california-house-elections-2026?r=SmFjazE
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will win the CA-4 house election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Mike Thompson (D) em 70% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will win the CA-4 house election? é resolvido?
- Who will win the CA-4 house election? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Who will win the CA-4 house election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_California#District_4