Probabilidade implícita atual
Mary Peltola 57%+4.0ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
896,9 €
Liquidez
61,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
31/01/26, 4:303/11/27, 15:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Dan Sullivan44%
Comparar plataformas· Mary Peltola
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral82% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 60% | 0pt | 1,5 mil € | 87 mil € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Média | 61% | +1pt | 896,9 € | 61,2 mil € | há 13 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Alaska Senate Election Winner
2.5 pts3m
+2.5pt59.4%
-2.5pt40.6%
0%
+26 mais resultados
75 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total326,2 mil €
Volume 24h1,5 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$1.0k2 de jul.26d de dados27 de jul.
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If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements.
- Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified.