KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Texas 16.2%Líder entre 17 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
16,4 mil €
Liquidez
215,3 mil €
Alta liquidezDados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
30/05/26, 21:303/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Regras
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official state or local election division websitesthe official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections withinofficial government websites of the relevant jurisdictionsThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsCNNNBC NewsABC NewsCBS NewsFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoFiveThirtyEightBallotpedia
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Referencia CoinRithm Texas 17% · 3 plataformas · faixa de 2 pt
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Closest Senate race in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Texas em 16% em 22 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Closest Senate race in 2026? é resolvido?
- Closest Senate race in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Closest Senate race in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Closest Senate race in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket, PredictIt.