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Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probabilityKemi Badenoch 20.4%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$643K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 21 days ago
StaleTrends
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PolymarketRules
The market will be settled where possible using official government sources such as https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/prime-minister#past-role-holders
