2026 House Race: Arizona District 1
3.0 pts (24h)ElectionOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics2026 US Midterms1y
Robinhood (Rothera)Check availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityDemocrat 86%+3.0pt
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Open interest
$37.6K
High open interestMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Rothera Exchange cleared market: 2026 House Race: Arizona District 1.
- Prices are from end-of-day exchange clearing settlement.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Democratic is 86%. The venue spread is about 3 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Democratic 86% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
