Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell or commute her sentence before July 2026?

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt67%
• D-House, R-Senate26.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.6pt8.6%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$49.2M

24h Vol

$3.5M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-1.0pt88%
• 25 bps increase12%
• 25 bps decrease-0.1pt0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+2.0pt65.7%
• R Senate, D-1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.8%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+4.0pt67.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt32.5%

Total Vol

$34.8M

24h Vol

$2.2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.7pt91.3%
• Republican Party-0.7pt8.8%

Total Vol

$65M

24h Vol

$2.1M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22-1.3pt95%
• October 24-2.0pt89%
• October 28-5.0pt81%

+17 more outcomes