PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Unverified resolution data: No (99%)
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 3, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
NoAwaiting result
YesAwaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Please Note: PredictIt added a supplementary comment at the bottom of the Rules on 08/06/2026.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Howard Lutnick resigns from, is removed from, or otherwise vacates, the office of Secretary of Commerce by the End Date listed below.
A circumstance in which Mr. Lutnick is temporarily suspended or is provisionally suspended pending a legal outcome shall not be sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that Howard Lutnick resigns from, is removed from, or otherwise vacates, the office of Secretary of Commerce by the End Date listed below.
A circumstance in which Mr. Lutnick is temporarily suspended or is provisionally suspended pending a legal outcome shall not be sufficient to resolve this market to Yes.
- Any resignation or removal that is not effective as of the End Date shall not be sufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/02/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Supplementary Comment(s)
Created On: 08/06/2026 8:30 AM (ET)Note: The title of this market was changed to reflect the End Date.