Which of these Democratic candidates will announce a 2028 POTUS run first?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection
PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
Gavin Newsom 40%Leader of 10 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
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Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Rules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named, to unambiguously and unconditionally announce that they will be a candidate in the 2028 United States Presidential Election.
- No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.
A statement or filing that an individual is considering or exploring a run for President shall be insufficient to cause this market to resolve to Yes.
In the event that the time and date upon which two or more of the listed individuals make qualifying announcements is identical or so similar as to be indistinguishable, as determined at PredictIt's sole discretion, the contract listing the individual with the first alphabetical last name among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes, while all other contracts will resolve as No.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
