PredictItCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
Current implied probability
38.8% to 39.0% 30%Leader of 9 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
$276
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 23, 26, 3:10 PM UTCSep 30, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on Oct. 2?
PredictItWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsTrump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/25-10/2)
KalshiTrump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026?
KalshiWhen will President Trump's approval rating go below 38%?
Manifold MarketsRules
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/30/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
