PredictItClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredUnverified resolution dataRetail prediction exchange
This market resolved: 40.4% to 40.6% (15%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
40.4% to 40.6% 15%Leader of 9 outcomes
Methodology
Retail prediction exchange
Question type
-
24h Volume
—
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
40.4% to 40.6%15%
40.7% to 40.9%7%
41.0% to 41.2%2%
41.3% to 41.5%2%
41.6% to 41.8%1%
41.9% to 42.1%1%
42.2% to 42.4%1%
42.5% or higher1%
40.3% or lower0%
15%
7%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-14.0pt25%
- October 31-21.0pt13%
- August 31-18.6pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-8.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.6M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt85.7%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.3%
- Total Vol
- $23.7M
- 24h Vol
- $585.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.5pt14%
+125 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-8.5pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 more outcomes
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
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- North Carolina Senate winner?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Ohio?
- Trump out as President by August 31?
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on August 7??
- PredictIt prices 40.4% to 40.6% at 15% as of August 7, 2026.
- When does Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on August 7? resolve?
- Trump's DDHQ job approval rating on August 7? is scheduled to resolve on August 7, 2026.