Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
YesWon
NoLost
Rules
Established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, a special legislative process called “reconciliation” allows for expedited consideration of certain tax, spending, and debt-limit legislation.
- In the Senate, reconciliation bills aren’t subject to filibuster and the scope of amendments is limited, giving this process advantages for enacting controversial budget and tax measures.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate passes a bill through the reconciliation process in a vote that concludes within this market's timeframe.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- This market's timeframe spans from June 23, 2022 (12 PM ET) to August 15, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET).
