Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleJun 23, 22, 12:00 AMAug 15, 22, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
Established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, a special legislative process called “reconciliation” allows for expedited consideration of certain tax, spending, and debt-limit legislation.
- In the Senate, reconciliation bills aren’t subject to filibuster and the scope of amendments is limited, giving this process advantages for enacting controversial budget and tax measures.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Senate passes a bill through the reconciliation process in a vote that concludes within this market's timeframe.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- This market's timeframe spans from June 23, 2022 (12 PM ET) to August 15, 2022 (11:59:59 PM ET).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? resolve?
- Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2022.
- How is Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, a special legislative process called “reconciliation” allows for expedited consideration of certain tax, spending, and debt-limit legislation.