Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 16, 22, 12:00 AMJan 10, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market is information from official US Government sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 118th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? resolve?
- Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? is scheduled to resolve on January 10, 2023.
- How is Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress is elected on the first ballot.