Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2023, 7:16 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleNov 28, 23, 4:43 PMDec 4, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible information and reporting.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.8pt75%
- October 31+8.5pt61%
- September 30+8.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.4M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.3pt100%
- August 31+2.0pt94%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- No-1.0pt92.1%
- Yes+1.0pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $25.2M
- 24h Vol
- $354.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-1.0pt63.4%
- Yes+1.0pt36.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.4M
- 24h Vol
- $246.7K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.7M
- 24h Vol
- $218.9K
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? resolve?
- Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? is scheduled to resolve on December 4, 2023.
- How is Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first ceasefire between Hamas and Israel pursuant to a hostage/prisoner exchange deal, which began on November 24, 2023, 7 AM IST (Israeli Standard Time), lasts at least 10 full days (240 consecutive hours).