Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?

PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

This market resolved: No

Resolved: Jan 13, 2024, 5:16 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current implied probability

Market quality

15 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

—

Liquidity

—

Liquidity unknown

Market data

Updated 181 days ago

Stale

Dec 5, 23, 7:45 PM UTCJan 13, 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Probability Timeline

Yes0%

No100%

Won

Yes

Lost

Rules

The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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