Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Jan 13, 2024, 5:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleDec 5, 23, 7:45 PMJan 13, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
- If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
