Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Biden
Resolved: Apr 25, 2023, 2:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Biden 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleApr 11, 23, 9:13 PMDec 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Biden100%
DeSantis0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Biden" if Joseph Biden files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Ronald DeSantis. This market will resolve to "DeSantis" if Ronald DeSantis files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Joseph Biden.
- For the purposes of resolving this market "files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election" will be satisfied by at least one of the following criteria becoming true for a candidate through either individual action or action through authorized representatives: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC -Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election -Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election.
- If neither named individual files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden/Ronald DeSantis and/or their representatives regarding their intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the FEC (e.g https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first??
- Polymarket prices Biden at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? resolve?
- Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2023.
- How is Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Biden" if Joseph Biden files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Ronald DeSantis. This market will resolve to "DeSantis" if Ronald DeSantis files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Joseph Biden.