Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Limited resolution evidence
CoinRithm can show the recorded outcome, but not every settlement field is provider-verified.
Current implied probability
Yes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleApr 11, 22, 12:00 AMJan 1, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexander Lukashenko remains the President of Belarus without interruption from March 28, 2022, through January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market will be the CIA World Factbook page for Belarus, currently available at https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/belarus/#government.
- It will be checked daily at 12:00 AM ET until the resolution date to see if Alyaksandr LUKASHENKA is still President of Belarus (referred to as Chief of State on the resolution source).
- If the CIA World Factbook page for Belarus is unavailable on the resolution time, it will be checked at 12:00 AM ET every day for the 7 days following resolution time.
- If the CIA World Factbook is still unavailable at that time, the UN source https://www.un.org/dgacm/sites/www.un.org.dgacm/files/Documents_Protocol/hspmfmlist.pdf will be used instead.
