Who will replace Boris Johnson?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Liz Truss
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Liz Truss 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleProbability Timeline
Liz Truss100%
Tom Tugendhat0%
Rishi Sunak0%
Penny Mordaunt0%
Kemi Badenoch0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned.
- This was the largest series of such resignations in British history, and many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign.
- This brought about a government crisis.
- As a result, On 7 July 2022, Boris Johnson, the Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party since 2019, announced his resignation as party leader, but plans to remain as prime minister until a successor is chosen.
- The 2022 Conservative Party leadership election to determine Boris Johnson's successor as Leader of the Conservative and Unionist Party is due to start on July 13, 2022, with final results expected on September 5, 2022.
- This is a market group on who will replace Boris Johnson as head of the Conservative Party.
Open markets
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-6.0pt54%
- Ralph Norman+7.0pt37.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+8.6pt79%
- October 31+20.0pt67%
- September 30+19.0pt48%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13.9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $193.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Darline Graham, 0-3%+6.0pt18.4%
- Darline Graham, 3-6%+2.0pt15.6%
- Ralph Norman, 0-3%+3.0pt13.8%
+15 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.1pt34.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt3%
+15 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will replace Boris Johnson??
- Polymarket prices Liz Truss at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- How is Who will replace Boris Johnson? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: In the wake of the so called 'Chris Pincher scandal' in the United Kingdom, in the first week of July 2022, over 50 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, and trade envoys resigned.