PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityParamount 67%+1.0%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$339
Liquidity
$57.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
66.0% / 67.0%
Spread
1.5%
Tight spread7d Change
-6.0%
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 6:04 PMJun 30, 27, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Paramount67%
Compare venues· Paramount
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall75% match · verified | High | 69% | +2pt | $7.7K | $1.1M | 15 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | High | 67% | 0pt | $339 | $57.9K | 15 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
3.0%11mo
+3.0%69%
-6.0%25%
-1.0%3%
100 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4M
24h Vol$7.7K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros.
- Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Transactions that involve only Warner Bros.
- Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
- Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros.
- Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.1k98.0%KALSHINetflix — No9d ago
KALSHINetflix — No9d ago$3.6k86.0%KALSHIParamount — Yes9d ago
KALSHIParamount — Yes9d agoVolume trend
$339Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros.
- Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Transactions that involve only Warner Bros.
- Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
- Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros.
- Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.