PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
November 19 · —
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Stored reference
November 19 93.1%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
November 19 93.1%Market quality
81 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.9K
Liquidity
$113.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.5K
Bid / Ask
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November 19Spread
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Comments
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 11, 26, 12:30 AM UTCNov 23, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · November 19
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve according to the calendar day, in China Standard Time, on which Donald Trump physically leaves China during his first visit to China that begins between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time.
- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China.
- Trump will be considered to leave China once he physically leaves the terrestrial and maritime territory of China.
- Trump’s presence in Chinese airspace will not be considered as being physically present in China.
- If Donald Trump begins a visit to China before the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, but does not leave China by that time, this market will resolve to “After the named outcome”.
- If Donald Trump does not visit China by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to “the named outcome the named outcome”.