PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Radical Left 79%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$66.1
Liquidity
$728
Low liquiditySpread
28.6 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 4:37 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
KalshiWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
PolymarketWhat will Trump say during the RNC Midterm Convention (Night 1)?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketWill MS Now show Trumps full 2026 RNC convention speech?
Manifold MarketsRules
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026.
- Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
- If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)??
- Polymarket prices Radical Left at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)? resolve?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 1)? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10AM ET.