PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Nov 5, 2023, 12:36 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 147 days ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 8:46 PMOct 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.
- The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US military intervention by Oct 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of March 31, 2026.
- When does US military intervention by Oct 31? resolve?
- US military intervention by Oct 31? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2023.
- How is US military intervention by Oct 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense.