Current implied probability
Under 74.3%-2.5pt
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.1K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 6:26 PMSep 6, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
