PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 57%
Yes 57%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$691.9
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$326.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 5:18 PM UTCApr 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Russell Brand be found not guilty of all charges in his current Southwark Crown Court trial?
Manifold MarketsWill Brandon Sanderson be credibly accused of sex crimes by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill someone in the US be executed for child sex crimes by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be indicted for crimes related to violating campaign finance laws by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRules
Russell Brand was charged on April 4, 2025 in the United Kingdom with various sexual offenses.
- He is currently on trial for the following sexual offenses: three counts of rape, three counts of sexual assault and one count of indecent assault.
- The trial began on October 14, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Russell Brand is convicted of at least one of these sexual offenses charged in this prosecution — whether by a guilty verdict or by pleading guilty to such an offense.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will resolve to “No” if every charge in this case is dismissed, withdrawn, or ended by a pardon or other act of clemency before a verdict is returned, or if the case is otherwise resolved without Brand being convicted of or pleading guilty to one of the listed charges.