PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
30+ · —
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Stored reference
38+ 31%Leader of 6 outcomes
38+ 31%Market quality
20 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$164
Liquidity
$799.4
Low liquidityOpen interest
$143
Bid / Ask
— / —
30+Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 14, 26, 2:52 AM UTCNov 23, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 30+
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?
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KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
KalshiAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on any single date from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date.
- This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period.
- Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below.
- If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time.