Current implied probability
Donald Martel 42.5%+24.5ptLeader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$16.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 7:51 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
- If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).