Current implied probability
18°C or higher 45%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$113.8
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 4:30 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.7K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.6pt97%
- December 31-0.3pt97%
- September 3094%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73%
- Yes-0.5pt27%
- Total Vol
- $414K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.8K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+8.0pt48.6%
- 27°C-0.5pt22.4%
- 25°C-3.5pt14.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 10??
- Polymarket prices 18°C or higher at 45% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 10? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 10? is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 10? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.