Current implied probability
Yes 3%
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$502.8
Liquidity
$73.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.6% / 2.7%
Spread
3.9%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 8:16 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes3%
Large trades
$2.5k97.0%
POLYMARKETNominisobaby23d ago
POLYMARKETNominisobaby23d agoVolume trend
$503Jul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Cryptos
Related Markets
BTC price on Jul 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$524.4K$64,250 or above: 69%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Bitcoin above ___ on July 26?
$493.1K56,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in July?
$390.1K↑ 65,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$202K$64,000 or above: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$145.7K↓ 60,000: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will BTC get in July?
$71.9KAbove $67,500.00: 23%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Cardano founder says quantum threat could dethrone BitcoinCrypto News
Hydropower overtakes gas as Bitcoin mining power use jumps 38%Crypto News
Bitcoin policy group joins U.S. State Department freedom tech pushCrypto News
BTC Price Prediction: Dead Money at $64K or a Coiled Spring — The $63.5K Line Decides EverythingBlockchain.News
Best Crypto to Invest In as Bitcoin Hits Five-Week High on Back-to-Back ETF Inflows, Smart Money Races Into Pepeto Before the Listing ShutsBlockchain Reporter
Bitcoin advocacy group to join US State Department’s ‘digital freedom’ programCointelegraphRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place.
- Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.