Current implied probability
No 98%-0.3pt
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$29.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.7% / 2.1%
Spread
0.4 pt
Tight spreadComments
13
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 8:16 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of the People's Republic of China (PRC) explicitly announces that Chinese citizens will be allowed to legally buy Bitcoin with yuan (renminbi) from inside China by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the PRC announces this change will take place.
- Whether it actually does will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the PRC, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.