Current implied probability
26°C 53.5%+5.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$14.8K
Liquidity
$45K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 4:57 AM UTCSep 9, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
Open markets
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.7K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.6pt97%
- December 31-0.3pt97%
- September 3094%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73%
- Yes-0.5pt27%
- Total Vol
- $414K
- 24h Vol
- $15.6K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.8K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.1pt96%
- Yes-0.1pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $12.3K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Total Vol
- $785K
- 24h Vol
- $8.7K
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- Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9??
- Polymarket prices 26°C at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9? resolve?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.